1. Jack Conrad
    Jack Conrad July 14, 2015 at 3:57 pm

    Gonna take the family on the Rae Lakes loop this week and it looks like rain the first few days. As long as it isn’t doing anything crazy on Glen Pass it’ll be okay.
    YRNO is a great weather site btw. They have most of the passes and ranger stations up to 10 days forecast ahead…and very accurate.
    Happy hikin’!

  2. Rodney
    Rodney July 14, 2015 at 4:47 pm

    Ray I think you said you are north bound this year? I’m departing HI Aug 25. Hope to see you on trail.

  3. Richard
    Richard July 14, 2015 at 5:37 pm

    I wasn’t planning to carry rain pains for my mid September thu….as I sweat out too fast…thinking about bringing a rain kilt…I’m also planning to wear shorts but have my thernal bottoms if need xtra leg warmth….I’m a newbie to the sierras…..is this foolish????thoughts???

  4. John Ladd
    John Ladd July 15, 2015 at 5:00 am
  5. John Ladd
    John Ladd July 15, 2015 at 5:21 am

    I have 81 responses so far to the “problem” section of the 2015 after-hike survey. It asks people to rate various problems on a scale from 1-Minimal to 3 – Significant to 5 – Severe

    Only 6 hikers have reported “water availability” as a more-than-minimal problem (i.e., rated it 2 and above)

    28 hikers rated “stream crossings” as a more-than-minimal problem

    Given the low snowpack, I was expecting a lot more water availability complaints and almost no stream-crossing problems. You never know what you are going to get until you’re there.

    If you haven’t yet, please register for the survey. 976 people have already registered. http://bit.ly/JMT15YG

  6. John
    John July 16, 2015 at 1:46 am

    My search engine won’t find YRNO website – what is it ?

  7. Leigh
    Leigh July 18, 2015 at 3:10 am

    Thank you for sharing this info! Heading out today, and I feel much better about the water situation than I thought I would!

  8. Terry Morris
    Terry Morris August 12, 2015 at 10:52 am

    Hi Ray – I really appreciate your discussion and graphs of the dry stretches on the JMT.

    My siblings and I are doing another stretch of the JMT this year at the end of August. We will be starting from Florence lake,camp the first night at the Muir Ranch area, then will hike north on the JMT up to Sallie Keyes lake, over Silver Pass eventually returning to Vermillion area via Goodale Pass.

    Our Biggest Question that we have been researching is whether there will be any water in the Senger Creek on our 2nd day after we leave Muir Trail Ranch and head north on the JMT. It is quite a big climb up to the lakes and could be quit hot on that SW slope. The Inyo ranger, who I have talked to, tells me that there has been a lot of small rains this summer and that the creek flows and lakes are pretty good, but she didn’t know anything about the Senger Creek flow.

    My topo map shows vegetation on this SW slope leading up to Sallie Keyes lake. Do you remember if there are trees (shade) or is it just brush? We are trying to get an idea of how hot the SW slope will be..

    As you say yourself in your blog, “Senger Creek is the unknown”. Its quite a climb on that SW slope so we really need to know if that creek is flowing. I’m a women, almost 70, but in fairly good shape, and like all of us, I really need to drink water, but don’t like to pack it!

    I’m finding it difficult to reach anybody at the ranger offices for the INYO forest. The Welcome Center for the mid section of the JMT always had a ranger in the office who was very helpful, but the Inyo seems understaffed, and often don’t answer the phone at all.

    Do you know of any way to find out about the flow state of Senger Creek? Is this creek very tiny, and undependable, in any season? Any suggestion or opinions?

    After Seldon pass we will continue north on the JMT down along Bear Creek Trail. The office person I talked to insisted that I could get water from Bear Creek, but she has never actually seen that trail. Your blog says that you can’t access Bear Creek form the trail. Is the problem that there are cliffs between the JMT trail and Bear Creek? My topo lines are 40 feet apart and I know we have been in similar situations before on the JMT where the map looks like the path is next to the creek, but it is actually 40 feet above on a crumbly cliff!!

    Thanks for all your great info!

  9. Nicolas
    Nicolas November 25, 2015 at 7:54 pm

    Hello Ray,

    I’m planning on hiking the JMT NOBO in July 2016. From passed experience, do you think that it will be possible to do given what will probably very deep snowpack?


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